How did household indebtedness hamper consumption during the recession? Evidence from micro data

The paper investigates the impact of household debt on consumption over a business cycle. * A quarterly panel dataset that covers over 100,000 individuals in 2005-2011 is used. * A negative relationship between the debt-to-income ratio and consumption is quite stable over the period. * A negative impact of the debt service ratio on consumption is stronger during the recession than in other periods. * The debt service ratio identifies the channel by which indebtedness amplified the 2008-2009 recession. The paper investigates the extent to which household indebtedness suppressed consumption duri... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Kukk, Merike
Dokumenttyp: Artikel
Reihe/Periodikum: Journal of comparative economics
Verlag/Hrsg.: Amsterdam, Elsevier
Sprache: Englisch
ISSN: 0147-5967
Weitere Identifikatoren: doi: 10.1016/j.jce.2015.07.004
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/olc-benelux-1981605614
URL: NULL
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Datenquelle: Online Contents Benelux; Originalkatalog
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Link(s) : http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2015.07.004
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2015.07.004

The paper investigates the impact of household debt on consumption over a business cycle. * A quarterly panel dataset that covers over 100,000 individuals in 2005-2011 is used. * A negative relationship between the debt-to-income ratio and consumption is quite stable over the period. * A negative impact of the debt service ratio on consumption is stronger during the recession than in other periods. * The debt service ratio identifies the channel by which indebtedness amplified the 2008-2009 recession. The paper investigates the extent to which household indebtedness suppressed consumption during the economic downturn in 2008-2009. The paper uses a unique quarterly panel dataset containing financial information on over 100 000 individuals. The dataset covers the period 2005-2011, when there were large changes in credit volumes, income and consumption in Estonia, a new EU member country. The estimations show that indebtedness measured by the debt-to-income ratio and the debt service ratio hampers consumption over the whole business cycle. The negative impact of the debt service ratio is, however, substantially stronger during the recession than in the pre-crisis and post-crisis periods, while the negative effect of the debt-to-income ratio is relatively stable over the sample period. The findings suggest that household indebtedness is amplifying the recession and the debt repayment burden indicates the mechanism which is at work.