Demographic age structure and economic development: Evidence from Chinese provinces

We study the role of age structure in regional development in China. * The evolution of age structure accounts for nearly one-fifth of China's growth. * We distinguish the size and composition effects of the working-age population. * Our estimates show equally important roles of the size and composition effects. In this paper, we examine the economic implications of demographic age structure in the context of regional development in China. We extend the development accounting framework by incorporating age structure and apply it to a panel data set of 28 Chinese provinces. We find that changes... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Haifeng Zhang
Dokumenttyp: Artikel
Reihe/Periodikum: Journal of comparative economics
Verlag/Hrsg.: Amsterdam, Elsevier
Sprache: Englisch
ISSN: 0147-5967
Weitere Identifikatoren: doi: 10.1016/j.jce.2014.07.002
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/olc-benelux-1965001173
URL: NULL
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Datenquelle: Online Contents Benelux; Originalkatalog
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Link(s) : http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2014.07.002
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2014.07.002

We study the role of age structure in regional development in China. * The evolution of age structure accounts for nearly one-fifth of China's growth. * We distinguish the size and composition effects of the working-age population. * Our estimates show equally important roles of the size and composition effects. In this paper, we examine the economic implications of demographic age structure in the context of regional development in China. We extend the development accounting framework by incorporating age structure and apply it to a panel data set of 28 Chinese provinces. We find that changes in age structure, as reflected by shifts in both the size and internal demographic composition of the working-age population, are significantly correlated with provincial economic growth rates. During our study period 1990-2005, the evolution of age structure accounts for nearly one-fifth of the growth in GDP per capita, of which more than half is attributable to shifts in the internal demographic composition of the working-age population. Differences in age structure across provinces also explain more than one-eighth of the persistent inter-provincial income inequality.