Mobility and the spatial spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Belgium ...

We analyse and mutually compare time series of COVID-19-related data and mobility data across Belgium's 43 arrondissements (NUTS 3). In this way, we reach three conclusions. First, we could detect a decrease in mobility during high-incidence stages of the pandemic. This is expressed as a significant change in the average amount of time spent outside one's home arrondissement, investigated over five distinct periods, and in more detail using an inter-arrondissement ``connectivity index'' (CI). Second, we analyse spatio-temporal COVID-19-related hospitalisation time series, after smoothing them... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Rollier, Michiel
Miranda, Gisele H. B.
Vergeynst, Jenna
Meys, Joris
Alleman, Tijs W.
Surveillance, the Belgian Collaborative Group on COVID-19 Hospital
Baetens, Jan M.
Dokumenttyp: Artikel
Erscheinungsdatum: 2022
Verlag/Hrsg.: arXiv
Schlagwörter: Physics and Society physics.soc-ph / Applications stat.AP / FOS: Physical sciences / FOS: Computer and information sciences
Sprache: unknown
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-29383382
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2202.11528

We analyse and mutually compare time series of COVID-19-related data and mobility data across Belgium's 43 arrondissements (NUTS 3). In this way, we reach three conclusions. First, we could detect a decrease in mobility during high-incidence stages of the pandemic. This is expressed as a significant change in the average amount of time spent outside one's home arrondissement, investigated over five distinct periods, and in more detail using an inter-arrondissement ``connectivity index'' (CI). Second, we analyse spatio-temporal COVID-19-related hospitalisation time series, after smoothing them using a generalise additive mixed model (GAMM). We confirm that some arrondissements are ahead of others and morphologically dissimilar to others, in terms of epidemiological progression. The tools used to quantify this are time-lagged cross-correlation (TLCC) and dynamic time warping (DTW), respectively. Third, we demonstrate that an arrondissement's CI with one of the three identified first-outbreak arrondissements is ... : Main text: 17 pages, 11 figures. Appendices: 4 pages, 4 figures. References: 44 ...