Disentangling the Age, Period, and Cohort Effects using a Modeling Approach

Disentangling age, period, and cohort effects in explaining health trends is crucial to assess future prevalences of health disorders. The identification problem -- age, period, and cohort effects are perfectly linearly related -- is tackled by modeling cohort and period effects using lifetime macro-indicators. This approach -- innovative in analyses on health trends -- handles theidentification problem and explains mechanisms underlying cohort and period effects. The modeling approach is compared with graphical and two-factors methods. The methods are applied on Dutch trends in functional lim... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Portrait, France
Alessie, Rob
Deeg, Dorly
Dokumenttyp: doc-type:workingPaper
Erscheinungsdatum: 2002
Verlag/Hrsg.: Amsterdam and Rotterdam: Tinbergen Institute
Schlagwörter: ddc:330 / I1 / C4 / Age-Period-Cohort Analysis / Trends in Functional Limitations / Aging / Alte Menschen / Krankheit / Niederlande / Ökonometrisches Modell
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-29231821
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
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Link(s) : http://hdl.handle.net/10419/86013

Disentangling age, period, and cohort effects in explaining health trends is crucial to assess future prevalences of health disorders. The identification problem -- age, period, and cohort effects are perfectly linearly related -- is tackled by modeling cohort and period effects using lifetime macro-indicators. This approach -- innovative in analyses on health trends -- handles theidentification problem and explains mechanisms underlying cohort and period effects. The modeling approach is compared with graphical and two-factors methods. The methods are applied on Dutch trends in functional limitations using data from the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam. We argue that the modeling approach is a highly appropriate alternative. We find that theprevalence of functional limitations increases in the nineteen-nineties due to adverse cohort and period effects. Cohort effects are explained by hygienic and socio-economic conditions during childhood and period effects by restrictions in availability of health care services.