Why crowding matters in the time of COVID-19 pandemic? - a lesson from the carnival effect on the 2017/2018 influenza epidemic in the Netherlands ...

Abstract Background To evaluate the association between crowding and transmission of viral respiratory infectious diseases, we investigated the change in transmission patterns of influenza and COVID-19 before and after a mass gathering event (i.e., carnival) in the Netherlands. Methods Information on individual hospitalizations related to the 2017/2018 influenza epidemic were accessed from Statistics Netherlands. The influenza cases were stratified between non-carnival and carnival regions. Distributions of influenza cases were plotted with time and compared between regions. A similar investig... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Qingui Chen
Toorop, Myrthe M. A.
Boer, Mark G. J. De
Rosendaal, Frits R.
Lijfering, Willem M.
Dokumenttyp: Datenquelle
Erscheinungsdatum: 2020
Verlag/Hrsg.: figshare
Schlagwörter: Medicine / Biotechnology / Immunology / FOS: Clinical medicine / 110309 Infectious Diseases / FOS: Health sciences / 60506 Virology / FOS: Biological sciences / Computational Biology
Sprache: unknown
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-29167436
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.c.5144027.v1

Abstract Background To evaluate the association between crowding and transmission of viral respiratory infectious diseases, we investigated the change in transmission patterns of influenza and COVID-19 before and after a mass gathering event (i.e., carnival) in the Netherlands. Methods Information on individual hospitalizations related to the 2017/2018 influenza epidemic were accessed from Statistics Netherlands. The influenza cases were stratified between non-carnival and carnival regions. Distributions of influenza cases were plotted with time and compared between regions. A similar investigation in the early outbreak of COVID-19 was also conducted using open data from the Dutch National Institute for Public Health and the Environment. Results Baseline characteristics between non-carnival and carnival regions were broadly similar. There were 13,836 influenza-related hospitalizations in the 2017/2018 influenza epidemic, and carnival fell about 1 week before the peak of these hospitalizations. The ...