The comparison of trends in Spain and the Nederland: a Dynamical compartment model of the transmission of Coronavirus ...

The recent spreading of coronavirus made many countries impose restrictions in order to control its dangerous effect on the citizens. We developed a theoretical dynamical model based on compartmental SIR system with additional adjustment taken from Flow network and Markov chain frameworks to illustrate developments and trends based on publicly available data. Based on this Model, code in R was written and fed by stamped publicly available data from authorized governmental websites in Spain and in the Nederlands, to compare trends. Our results show that the 'peak' of infection is already behind... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Lopez, Victoria
Čukić, Milena
Dokumenttyp: Artikel
Erscheinungsdatum: 2020
Verlag/Hrsg.: arXiv
Schlagwörter: Physics and Society physics.soc-ph / Neurons and Cognition q-bio.NC / Populations and Evolution q-bio.PE / FOS: Physical sciences / FOS: Biological sciences
Sprache: unknown
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-29148417
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
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Link(s) : https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2004.09874

The recent spreading of coronavirus made many countries impose restrictions in order to control its dangerous effect on the citizens. We developed a theoretical dynamical model based on compartmental SIR system with additional adjustment taken from Flow network and Markov chain frameworks to illustrate developments and trends based on publicly available data. Based on this Model, code in R was written and fed by stamped publicly available data from authorized governmental websites in Spain and in the Nederlands, to compare trends. Our results show that the 'peak' of infection is already behind us in both countries, but also demonstrate that there is a danger of rebound of a spread. It is obvious that measures imposed are giving the results, but we should be precarious of near future practices and developments since the majority of population will still be without immunity. ... : 12 pages, 8 figures ...