Commodity booms, dutch disease, and real business cycles in a small open economy: the case of coffee in Colombia

This paper proposes a dynamic,stochastic, multisector growth model which integrates the real business cycle literature and booming sector and Dutch Disease economics to analyze fluctuations, resource allocation and relative price changes in small open (developing) economies subject to terms of trade shocks. The model is consistent whith aggregate and sectorial cyclical behavior of this class of economies, and rationalizes as an efficient outcome the symptoms of Dutch Disease (temporary deindustrialization and appreciation of the real exchange rate) which are sometimes judged to be suboptimal r... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Suescun-Melo, Rodrigo
Dokumenttyp: Working Paper
Erscheinungsdatum: 1997
Verlag/Hrsg.: Banco de la República
Schlagwörter: C73 - Stochastic and Dynamic Games / Evolutionary Games / Repeated Games / C61 - Optimization Techniques / Programming Models / Dynamic Analysis / E32 - Business Fluctuations / Cycles / E31 - Price Level / Inflation / Deflation / Commodity booms / Economy / Coffee / Colombia / Enfermedad holandesa (Economía) -- Colombia / Café -- Colombia / Ciclos económicos -- Colombia / Precios de productos básicos -- Colombia / Productos básicos -- Colombia / C73 - Juegos estocásticos y dinámicos / Juegos evolutivos / Juegos repetidos / E31 - Nivel de precios / Inflación / Deflación / E32 - Fluctuaciones económicas / Ciclos / C61 - Técnicas de optimización / Modelos de programación / Análisis dinámico
Sprache: Spanish
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-29052041
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : http://repositorio.banrep.gov.co/handle/20.500.12134/5090

This paper proposes a dynamic,stochastic, multisector growth model which integrates the real business cycle literature and booming sector and Dutch Disease economics to analyze fluctuations, resource allocation and relative price changes in small open (developing) economies subject to terms of trade shocks. The model is consistent whith aggregate and sectorial cyclical behavior of this class of economies, and rationalizes as an efficient outcome the symptoms of Dutch Disease (temporary deindustrialization and appreciation of the real exchange rate) which are sometimes judged to be suboptimal responses and as the rationale for government intervention in developing countries. It is also found that commodity price stabilization policies do not significantly affect the cyclical pattern of fluctuations and that their welfare benefits are second orden.