Real Exchange Rates, Saving and Growth : Is There a Link ?

The view that policies directed at the real exchange rate can have an important effect on economic growth has been gaining adherents in recent years. Unlike the traditional "misalignment" view that temporary departures of the real exchange rate from its equilibrium level harm growth by distorting a key relative price in the economy, the recent literature stresses the growth effects of the equilibrium real exchange rate itself, with the claim being that a depreciated equilibrium real exchange rate promotes economic growth. While there is no consensus on the precise channels through which this e... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Montiel, Peter J.
Servén, Luis
Erscheinungsdatum: 2008
Verlag/Hrsg.: World Bank
Washington
DC
Schlagwörter: ADJUSTMENT COSTS / ADJUSTMENT PATH / AGGREGATE DEMAND / ASSETS / BALANCE OF PAYMENTS / BANK POLICY / BONDS / BUDGET CONSTRAINT / CAPITA INCOME / CAPITAL ACCUMULATION / CAPITAL FLOWS / CAPITAL GAINS / CAPITAL MOBILITY / CAPITAL STOCK / CENTRAL BANK / CENTRAL BANK POLICY / CONSUMER CREDIT / CONSUMPTION DEMAND / CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE / CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES / CONSUMPTION SMOOTHING / CORPORATE SAVING / CROSS-COUNTRY SAMPLE / CURRENT ACCOUNT / CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE / CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT / CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES / DEMOGRAPHIC / DEPENDENCY RATIOS / DEPRECIATIONS / DEVELOPING COUNTRIES / DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS / DIVIDENDS / DOLLAR PRICE / DOLLAR PRICES / DOMESTIC CAPITAL / DOMESTIC COMPETITION / DOMESTIC DEMAND / DOMESTIC ECONOMY / DOMESTIC FINANCIAL SYSTEM / DOMESTIC INFLATION / DOMESTIC MARKETS / DOMESTIC SAVING / DUTCH DISEASE / ECONOMETRIC EVIDENCE / ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT / ECONOMIC GROWTH / ECONOMIC POLICY / ECONOMIC REVIEW / EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-29048909
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
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Link(s) : https://hdl.handle.net/10986/6698

The view that policies directed at the real exchange rate can have an important effect on economic growth has been gaining adherents in recent years. Unlike the traditional "misalignment" view that temporary departures of the real exchange rate from its equilibrium level harm growth by distorting a key relative price in the economy, the recent literature stresses the growth effects of the equilibrium real exchange rate itself, with the claim being that a depreciated equilibrium real exchange rate promotes economic growth. While there is no consensus on the precise channels through which this effect is generated, an increasingly common view in policy circles points to saving as the channel of transmission, with the claim that a depreciated real exchange rate raises the domestic saving rate -- which in turn stimulates growth by increasing the rate of capital accumulation. This paper offers a preliminary exploration of this claim. Drawing from standard analytical models, stylized facts on saving and real exchange rates, and existing empirical research on saving determinants, the paper assesses the link between the real exchange rate and saving. Overall, the conclusion is that saving is unlikely to provide the mechanism through which the real exchange rate affects growth.