Analysis of simulated outbreaks with similar parameter values as the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in mink farms.
(A) The mean estimated median number of introductions. The black line indicates the simulated number of introductions. (B) Percentage of correctly identified infectors. The grey bar indicates cases for which the true infector has the highest posterior weight. The transparent bar indicates cases for which the true infector is contained in the smallest set of candidate infectors with at least 95% of the posterior weight. (C) Classification of the falsely identified infectors based on highest support. (C) Classification of the falsely identified infectors based on highest support. The grey bars i... Mehr ...