Type of errors in the estimated transmission tree.
The left figure represents the transmission tree of a simulated outbreak with 5 cases; there are 2 introductions (clusters) and 3 transmission events. The right figure represents possible estimates of the transmission tree of the simulated outbreak. The vertical ordering of cases in the left and the right figures is identical. The upper right figure shows errors in which an incorrect infector is identified, but the incorrect infector belongs to the same cluster as the true infector (type A errors), the lower right figure represents incorrect identifications of the infector in which the incorre... Mehr ...
The left figure represents the transmission tree of a simulated outbreak with 5 cases; there are 2 introductions (clusters) and 3 transmission events. The right figure represents possible estimates of the transmission tree of the simulated outbreak. The vertical ordering of cases in the left and the right figures is identical. The upper right figure shows errors in which an incorrect infector is identified, but the incorrect infector belongs to the same cluster as the true infector (type A errors), the lower right figure represents incorrect identifications of the infector in which the incorrect infector belongs to a different cluster as the true infector (type B errors). In Type 1 errors neither the true infector nor the incorrect identified infector is an index case. For type 2 errors, the host is an index case in the simulated outbreak but not in the estimated outbreak. For type 3 errors, the host is not an index case in the simulated outbreak but is an index case in the estimated outbreak. (TIF)