Who develops long COVID?:Longitudinal pre-pandemic predictors of long COVID and symptom clusters in a representative Dutch population

Objectives Prior studies show that long COVID has a heterogeneous presentation. Whether specific risk factors are related to subclusters of long COVID remains unknown. This study aimed to determine pre-pandemic predictors of long COVID and symptom clustering. Methods A total of 3,022 participants of a panel representative of the Dutch population completed an online survey about long COVID symptoms. Data was merged into 2018/2019 panel data covering sociodemographic, medical, and psychosocial predictors. A total of 415 participants were classified as having long COVID. K-means clustering was us... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Slurink, I.A.L.
van den Houdt, S.C.M.
Mertens, G.
Dokumenttyp: Artikel
Erscheinungsdatum: 2024
Reihe/Periodikum: Slurink , I A L , van den Houdt , S C M & Mertens , G 2024 , ' Who develops long COVID? Longitudinal pre-pandemic predictors of long COVID and symptom clusters in a representative Dutch population ' , International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases , vol. 144 , 107048 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2024.107048
Schlagwörter: COVID-19 / Clustering / Long COVID / Prediction model / Symptoms / post-COVID-19
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-29030032
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : https://research.tilburguniversity.edu/en/publications/a3d5a2a8-0ffd-4974-9fd0-2840be2925c4

Objectives Prior studies show that long COVID has a heterogeneous presentation. Whether specific risk factors are related to subclusters of long COVID remains unknown. This study aimed to determine pre-pandemic predictors of long COVID and symptom clustering. Methods A total of 3,022 participants of a panel representative of the Dutch population completed an online survey about long COVID symptoms. Data was merged into 2018/2019 panel data covering sociodemographic, medical, and psychosocial predictors. A total of 415 participants were classified as having long COVID. K-means clustering was used to identify patient clusters. Multivariate and lasso regression was used to identify relevant predictors compared to a COVID-19 positive control group. Results Predictors of long-term COVID included older age, Western ethnicity, BMI, chronic disease, COVID-19 reinfections, severity, and symptoms, lower self-esteem, and higher positive affect (AUC = 0.79, 95%CI 0.73-0.86). Four clusters were identified: a low and a high symptom severity cluster, a smell-taste and respiratory symptoms cluster, and a neuro-cognitive, psychosocial, and inflammatory symptom cluster. Predictors for the different clusters included regular health complaints, healthcare use, fear of COVID-19, anxiety, depressive symptoms, and neuroticism. Conclusions A combination of sociodemographic, medical, and psychosocial factors predicted long COVID. Heterogenous symptom clusters suggest that there are different phenotypes of long COVID-19 presentation.