Boom goes the price : giant resource discoveries and real exchange rate appreciation

Funding: BP funded Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies (Oxcarre) and the Equinor chair in Economics at NHH is gratefully acknowledged. ; We estimate the effect of giant oil and gas discoveries on bilateral real exchange rates. A giant discovery with the value of 10% of a country's GDP appreciates the real exchange rate by 1.5% within 10 years following the discovery. The appreciation starts before production starts and the non-traded component of the real exchange rate drives the appreciation. Labor reallocates from the traded goods sector to the non-traded goods sector,... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Harding, Torfinn
Stefanski, Radoslaw
Toews, Gerhard
Dokumenttyp: Journal article
Erscheinungsdatum: 2020
Schlagwörter: Real exchange rates / Natural resource discoveries / Dutch disease / Oil / Balassa-Samuelson effect / HB Economic Theory / HD Industries. Land use. Labor / HG Finance / 3rd-DAS / BDC / R2C / SDG 15 - Life on Land / HB / HD / HG
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-29019676
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : http://hdl.handle.net/10023/20503

Funding: BP funded Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies (Oxcarre) and the Equinor chair in Economics at NHH is gratefully acknowledged. ; We estimate the effect of giant oil and gas discoveries on bilateral real exchange rates. A giant discovery with the value of 10% of a country's GDP appreciates the real exchange rate by 1.5% within 10 years following the discovery. The appreciation starts before production starts and the non-traded component of the real exchange rate drives the appreciation. Labor reallocates from the traded goods sector to the non-traded goods sector, leading to changes in labor productivity. These findings provide direct evidence on the channels central to the theories of the Dutch disease and the Balassa-Samuelson effect. ; Publisher PDF ; Peer reviewed