Use of survival analysis and simulation to improve maintenance planning of high voltage instrument transformers in the Dutch transmission system ...

This paper describes the use of survival analysis and simulation to model the lifetime of high voltage instrument transformers in the Dutch transmission sys-tem. To represent asset aging, the non-parametric Kaplan-Meier method is used to enable the fitting of Weibull distribution. Such an approach is implemented on three different voltage levels, namely 110kV, 150kV, and 220/380kV. Real failure and inspection data is used to achieve a realistic failure model of the instrument trans-formers. Failure and maintenance data occurring between 1989 and 2021 have been used for this study. In spite of... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Khuntia, Swasti R.
Zghal, Fatma
Bhuyan, Ranjan
Schenkel, Erik
Duvivier, Paul
Blancke, Olivier
Krasny, Witold
Dokumenttyp: Scholarlyarticle
Erscheinungsdatum: 2023
Verlag/Hrsg.: arXiv
Schlagwörter: Applications stat.AP / FOS: Computer and information sciences
Sprache: unknown
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-28980403
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
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Link(s) : https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2301.01239

This paper describes the use of survival analysis and simulation to model the lifetime of high voltage instrument transformers in the Dutch transmission sys-tem. To represent asset aging, the non-parametric Kaplan-Meier method is used to enable the fitting of Weibull distribution. Such an approach is implemented on three different voltage levels, namely 110kV, 150kV, and 220/380kV. Real failure and inspection data is used to achieve a realistic failure model of the instrument trans-formers. Failure and maintenance data occurring between 1989 and 2021 have been used for this study. In spite of missing and low-quality data, a rich failure database could still be prepared. This study also offers insights into factors (i.e., voltage level, in-service age) influencing the remaining life from both graphical survival function and parametric Weibull distribution analysis. Based on the derived statistics, future possible maintenance planning scenarios are simulated under a complex system modelling framework in a ... : 12 pages, 5 figures, 16th WCEAM Proceedings 2022 ...