Using the CARAIB dynamic vegetation model to simulate crop yields in Belgium: validation and projections for the 2035 horizon

peer reviewed ; The CARAIB model was initially designed to describe the dynamics of natural ecosystems and to study the role of vegetation in the global carbon cycle. In order to be able to respond to new challenges (such as the study of climate-vegetation feedback or the evaluation of ecosystem services), the model has been adapted with a new module allowing it to cover all vegetation, natural and managed, such as cultures. Before it can be applied over Belgium, the model was validated at two scales and according to two types of data: (1) on an eddy-covariance measurement site, and (2) on a B... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Jacquemin, Ingrid
Berckmans, J.
Henrot, Alexandra-Jane
Dury, Marie
Tychon, Bernard
Hambuckers, Alain
Hamdi, Rafiq
François, Louis
Dokumenttyp: journal article
Erscheinungsdatum: 2021
Schlagwörter: dynamic vegetation model / agricultural crops / CARAIB / climate change / Belgium / Life sciences / Environmental sciences & ecology / Sciences du vivant / Sciences de l’environnement & écologie
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-28950568
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/256139

peer reviewed ; The CARAIB model was initially designed to describe the dynamics of natural ecosystems and to study the role of vegetation in the global carbon cycle. In order to be able to respond to new challenges (such as the study of climate-vegetation feedback or the evaluation of ecosystem services), the model has been adapted with a new module allowing it to cover all vegetation, natural and managed, such as cultures. Before it can be applied over Belgium, the model was validated at two scales and according to two types of data: (1) on an eddy-covariance measurement site, and (2) on a Belgian national scale based on average yield data by agricultural region and for the recent past. The model was then applied at the Belgian scale, forced under two future climate scenarios up to the year 2035, in order to assess the potential impacts of climate change on the agricultural yields of the six main crops of the country (winter wheat, winter barley, potatoes, maize, sugar beet and rapeseed) and therefore the risks incurred by farmers. ; MASC project, 2014-2018