Future evolution of the hydroclimatic conditions favouring floods in the south‐east of Belgium by 2100 using a regional climate model

In Belgium, most flood events occur in winter as a result of intense precipitation events but also through the abrupt melting of the snowpack that covers the Ardennes summits. These conditions favourable to floods exhibit a decreasing trend over 1959–2010 resulting from the reduction in snow accumulation, although extreme precipitation events show a positive, albeit non-significant signal. In this study, the evolution of these trends in warmer climates is investigated by using future projections performed with the regional climate model MAR (‘Modèle Atmosphérique Régional’) forced by two globa... Mehr ...