Are short-lived jobs stepping stones to long-lasting jobs?

This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the cou... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Cockx, Bart Leo Wim
Picchio, Matteo
Dokumenttyp: doc-type:workingPaper
Erscheinungsdatum: 2009
Verlag/Hrsg.: Bonn: Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
Schlagwörter: ddc:330 / C15 / C41 / J62 / J64 / Event history model / transition data / state dependence / short-lived jobs / stepping stone effect / long-lasting jobs / Absolventen / Langzeitarbeitslosigkeit / Berufliche Integration / Befristeter Arbeitsvertrag / Arbeitsverhältnis / Arbeitsplatzsicherung / Belgien
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-28897398
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
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Link(s) : http://hdl.handle.net/10419/35399

This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.