Crisis-proof services: Why trade in services did not suffer during the 2008-2009 collapse

During the 2008-2009 crisis, trade in goods fell by almost 30%. In contrast, trade in business, telecommunication and financial services continued growing at their pre-crisis rates and only services related to transport declined. Using trade data at the firm-product-destination level for Belgium, I show that during the crisis the elasticity of services exports with respect to GDP growth in destination countries was significantly different from that of goods exports. In particular, the negative income shock in partner countries affected exports of goods but not exports of services. This differe... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Ariu, Andrea
Dokumenttyp: doc-type:workingPaper
Erscheinungsdatum: 2015
Verlag/Hrsg.: Brussels: National Bank of Belgium
Schlagwörter: ddc:330 / F10 / F14 / L80 / Trade Collapse / Service Resilience / Trade in Services and Goods / Dienstleistungshandel / Wirtschaftskrise / Belgien
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-28897276
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : http://hdl.handle.net/10419/144496

During the 2008-2009 crisis, trade in goods fell by almost 30%. In contrast, trade in business, telecommunication and financial services continued growing at their pre-crisis rates and only services related to transport declined. Using trade data at the firm-product-destination level for Belgium, I show that during the crisis the elasticity of services exports with respect to GDP growth in destination countries was significantly different from that of goods exports. In particular, the negative income shock in partner countries affected exports of goods but not exports of services. This difference is economically sizable: if goods exports had had the same elasticity to GDP growth as services exports, their fall during the 2008-2009 collapse would have been only half what was observed.