Predicting crime across cities and regions : a comparative analysis of predictive modelling in three Belgian settings

Abstract: The current study examines whether the predictive modelling of crime can be applied consistently across different urban settings. An ensemble network was applied to generate crime predictions regarding three specific urban settings, for which both crime and supporting data were employed spanning the period from 2012-2016. For each setting, prediction performance measures were calculated and compared per crime type. The results indicate that relatively better and consistent performance measures were achieved for a larger and denser urban setting (setting C), while for a smaller urban... Mehr ...