We consider that an individual goes through different phases of infection/disease, which is represented by a SEIR-like state machine.

A susceptible individual (S) can become infected, given a time-dependent infection probability λ( t ). This probability depends on the transmission potential of the virus and the social contact behaviour, which due to contact reduction policies is time-dependent. When infected, the individual becomes exposed ( E ). Once exposed ( E ), an individual goes through an incubation time of ε days, after which the individual becomes infectious prior to symptom development ( I p ). A pre-symptomatic infected individual ( I p ) will either become asymptomatic ( I a ), symptomatic with symptoms ( I s ),... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Pieter J. K. Libin (6681254)
Lander Willem (119855)
Timothy Verstraeten (10276708)
Andrea Torneri (6002417)
Joris Vanderlocht (450263)
Niel Hens (43661)
Dokumenttyp: Image
Erscheinungsdatum: 2021
Schlagwörter: Medicine / Neuroscience / Biotechnology / Sociology / Infectious Diseases / Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified / Mathematical Sciences not elsewhere classified / control SARS-CoV -2 epidemics / PCR test pool / health care systems / SARS-CoV -2 epidemics / testing approach / hand pool isolation / Belgian COVID -19 epidemic / STRIDE / control COVID -19 epidemics Outbreaks / contact reductions
Sprache: unknown
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-28874981
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008688.g001

A susceptible individual (S) can become infected, given a time-dependent infection probability λ( t ). This probability depends on the transmission potential of the virus and the social contact behaviour, which due to contact reduction policies is time-dependent. When infected, the individual becomes exposed ( E ). Once exposed ( E ), an individual goes through an incubation time of ε days, after which the individual becomes infectious prior to symptom development ( I p ). A pre-symptomatic infected individual ( I p ) will either become asymptomatic ( I a ), symptomatic with symptoms ( I s ), after a period of ρ days. When asymptomatic ( I a ) the individual will remain infectious for ζ days after which he/she recovers ( R ). When severely symptomatic, the individual will be hospitalized with an age-dependent probability ϕ ( a ) or recover without the need for hospitalisation.