A Retrospective Analysis of the Azerbaijani Economy During 30 Years of Independence ; Ретроспективный анализ экономики Азербайджана за 30-летний период независимости
Here, we retrospectively describe the Azerbaijani economy since its independence from the Soviet Union in terms of the main macroeconomic indicators that evolved throughout the developmental phases and economic cycles of the country. The study identifies five distinct stages of the Azerbaijani economy, namely a recession (1991–1994), recovery (1995–2003), peak (2004–2006), oil boom (2007–2014), and post-boom (2015–2020). Our analysis mainly utilized the numerical analysis and period-based grouping of the main macroeconomic indicators. Therefore, the recovery period was notable due to rapid ref... Mehr ...
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Dokumenttyp: | Artikel |
Erscheinungsdatum: | 2022 |
Verlag/Hrsg.: |
The Centre of Regional Research
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Schlagwörter: | голландская болезнь / post-soviet economy / economic cycles / transition process / oil-gas sector / oil-driven growth / non-oil sector / Dutch disease / постсоветская экономика / экономические циклы / переходный процесс / нефтегазовый сектор / рост за счет нефти / ненефтяной сектор |
Sprache: | Englisch |
Permalink: | https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-28586184 |
Datenquelle: | BASE; Originalkatalog |
Powered By: | BASE |
Link(s) : | https://www.postsovietarea.com/jour/article/view/332 |
Here, we retrospectively describe the Azerbaijani economy since its independence from the Soviet Union in terms of the main macroeconomic indicators that evolved throughout the developmental phases and economic cycles of the country. The study identifies five distinct stages of the Azerbaijani economy, namely a recession (1991–1994), recovery (1995–2003), peak (2004–2006), oil boom (2007–2014), and post-boom (2015–2020). Our analysis mainly utilized the numerical analysis and period-based grouping of the main macroeconomic indicators. Therefore, the recovery period was notable due to rapid reforms, and the economic peak reflected the consequences of the government’s oil-driven economic growth. However, stagnation and the post-boom period hit the Azerbaijani economy with full force, and revealed the harsh reality of oil dependency. In other words, the sustainability of the Azerbaijani economy seems to be below average as the growth of the main macroeconomic indicators are both highly and positively correlated with the oil industry and its many-sided effects. Extractive industries are non-renewable and rapidly exhausted. The commodity prices are highly volatile, and many political regimes of the oil-rich countries improperly manage windfall revenue. The future policy concerns of the Azerbaijani government officials should focus on rechanneling the available economic and institutional resources to address the lagging performance of the non-oil tradable sectors in the future. Otherwise, a wider and deeper recession will be unavoidable. ; Данная статья ретроспективно показывает экономические циклы и описывает экономику Азербайджана с помощью основных макроэкономических показателей, которые менялись на всех этапах развития с момента обретения независимости, уже в постсоветский период. В исследовании выделяются пять различных этапов развития азербайджанской экономики, а именно: рецессия (1991–1994 годы), восстановление (1995–2003 годы), пик (2004–2006 годы), нефтяной бум (2007–2015 годы) и застой (2016–2020 годы). В ...