Trends in age at detection in cases of bovine spongiform encephalopathy in Belgium: an indicator of the epidemic curve
There were 118 cases of bovine spongiform encephalopathy (<scp>bse</scp>) in Belgium before January 1, 2004. Trends in their age at detection were analysed and attempts were made to use this parameter as a predictor of the current status of the <scp>bse</scp> epidemic in the country. The following variables were considered: date of birth, breed, date of detection, mode of detection, and the number and age of animals slaughtered and rendered each month. Age at detection as a function of date of birth was a very poor epidemiological indicator. It was concluded that the in... Mehr ...
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Dokumenttyp: | TEXT |
Erscheinungsdatum: | 2006 |
Verlag/Hrsg.: |
BMJ Publishing Group Ltd
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Schlagwörter: | PAPERS & ARTICLES |
Sprache: | Englisch |
Permalink: | https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-28539906 |
Datenquelle: | BASE; Originalkatalog |
Powered By: | BASE |
Link(s) : | http://veterinaryrecord.bmj.com/cgi/content/short/159/18/583 |
There were 118 cases of bovine spongiform encephalopathy (<scp>bse</scp>) in Belgium before January 1, 2004. Trends in their age at detection were analysed and attempts were made to use this parameter as a predictor of the current status of the <scp>bse</scp> epidemic in the country. The following variables were considered: date of birth, breed, date of detection, mode of detection, and the number and age of animals slaughtered and rendered each month. Age at detection as a function of date of birth was a very poor epidemiological indicator. It was concluded that the increasing age of <scp>bse</scp> cases when they were detected was due to the depletion of cases, as a result of there being no new infections, and that it is a reliable indicator of a decrease in the epidemic curve in Belgium. By means of a simulation it is shown how age distribution at the time of detection closely follows the epidemic curve and data from Great Britain are used to illustrate the point.