Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on faecal immunochemical test-based colorectal cancer screening programmes in Australia, Canada, and the Netherlands:a comparative modelling study

Background: Colorectal cancer screening programmes worldwide have been disrupted during the COVID-19 pandemic. We aimed to estimate the impact of hypothetical disruptions to organised faecal immunochemical test-based colorectal cancer screening programmes on short-term and long-term colorectal cancer incidence and mortality in three countries using microsimulation modelling. Methods: In this modelling study, we used four country-specific colorectal cancer microsimulation models–Policy1-Bowel (Australia), OncoSim (Canada), and ASCCA and MISCAN-Colon (the Netherlands)—to estimate the potential i... Mehr ...

Verfasser: de Jonge, Lucie
Worthington, Joachim
van Wifferen, Francine
Iragorri, Nicolas
Peterse, Elisabeth F.P.
Lew, Jie Bin
Greuter, Marjolein J.E.
Smith, Heather A.
Feletto, Eleonora
Yong, Jean H.E.
Canfell, Karen
Coupé, Veerle M.H.
Lansdorp-Vogelaar, Iris
Dokumenttyp: Artikel
Erscheinungsdatum: 2021
Reihe/Periodikum: de Jonge , L , Worthington , J , van Wifferen , F , Iragorri , N , Peterse , E F P , Lew , J B , Greuter , M J E , Smith , H A , Feletto , E , Yong , J H E , Canfell , K , Coupé , V M H , Lansdorp-Vogelaar , I & COVID-19 and Cancer Global Modelling Consortium working group 2 2021 , ' Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on faecal immunochemical test-based colorectal cancer screening programmes in Australia, Canada, and the Netherlands : a comparative modelling study ' , The Lancet Gastroenterology and Hepatology , vol. 6 , no. 4 , pp. 304-314 . https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-1253(21)00003-0
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-27623113
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : https://research.vumc.nl/en/publications/03e48853-4d07-4f5c-91a7-bf1c7af90010

Background: Colorectal cancer screening programmes worldwide have been disrupted during the COVID-19 pandemic. We aimed to estimate the impact of hypothetical disruptions to organised faecal immunochemical test-based colorectal cancer screening programmes on short-term and long-term colorectal cancer incidence and mortality in three countries using microsimulation modelling. Methods: In this modelling study, we used four country-specific colorectal cancer microsimulation models–Policy1-Bowel (Australia), OncoSim (Canada), and ASCCA and MISCAN-Colon (the Netherlands)—to estimate the potential impact of COVID-19-related disruptions to screening on colorectal cancer incidence and mortality in Australia, Canada, and the Netherlands annually for the period 2020–24 and cumulatively for the period 2020–50. Modelled scenarios varied by duration of disruption (3, 6, and 12 months), decreases in screening participation after the period of disruption (0%, 25%, or 50% reduction), and catch-up screening strategies (within 6 months after the disruption period or all screening delayed by 6 months). Findings: Without catch-up screening, our analysis predicted that colorectal cancer deaths among individuals aged 50 years and older, a 3-month disruption would result in 414–902 additional new colorectal cancer diagnoses (relative increase 0·1–0·2%) and 324–440 additional deaths (relative increase 0·2–0·3%) in the Netherlands, 1672 additional diagnoses (relative increase 0·3%) and 979 additional deaths (relative increase 0·5%) in Australia, and 1671 additional diagnoses (relative increase 0·2%) and 799 additional deaths (relative increase 0·3%) in Canada between 2020 and 2050, compared with undisrupted screening. A 6-month disruption would result in 803–1803 additional diagnoses (relative increase 0·2–0·4%) and 678–881 additional deaths (relative increase 0·4–0·6%) in the Netherlands, 3552 additional diagnoses (relative increase 0·6%) and 1961 additional deaths (relative increase 1·0%) in Australia, and 2844 additional diagnoses ...