Pandemic Influenza and Healthcare Demand in the Netherlands: Scenario Analysis

In accordance with World Health Organization guidelines, the Dutch Ministry of Health, Welfare and Sports designed a national plan to minimize effects of pandemic influenza. Within the scope of the Dutch pandemic preparedness plan, we were asked to estimate the magnitude of the problem in terms of the number of hospitalizations and deaths during an influenza pandemic. Using scenario analysis, we also examined the potential effects of intervention options. We describe and compare the scenarios developed to understand the potential impact of a pandemic (i.e., illness, hospitalizations, deaths),... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Marianne L.L. van Genugten
Marie-Louise A. Heijnen
Johannes C. Jager
Dokumenttyp: Artikel
Erscheinungsdatum: 2003
Reihe/Periodikum: Emerging Infectious Diseases, Vol 9, Iss 5, Pp 531-538 (2003)
Verlag/Hrsg.: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Schlagwörter: outbreak control / pandemic influenza / preparedness planning / research / scenarios / the Netherlands / Medicine / R / Infectious and parasitic diseases / RC109-216
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-27578713
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : https://doi.org/10.3201/eid0905.020321

In accordance with World Health Organization guidelines, the Dutch Ministry of Health, Welfare and Sports designed a national plan to minimize effects of pandemic influenza. Within the scope of the Dutch pandemic preparedness plan, we were asked to estimate the magnitude of the problem in terms of the number of hospitalizations and deaths during an influenza pandemic. Using scenario analysis, we also examined the potential effects of intervention options. We describe and compare the scenarios developed to understand the potential impact of a pandemic (i.e., illness, hospitalizations, deaths), various interventions, and critical model parameters. Scenario analysis is a helpful tool for making policy decisions about the design and planning of outbreak control management on a national, regional, or local level.