Aid-financed public investments and the Dutch disease : evidence from Tanzania

In this paper we discuss the impact of scaling-up aid in Tanzania using an economy-wide dynamic CGE model. The major conclusions coming out from this work is that productivity effects matter. If additional aid and consequently increased public spending has a positive impact on productivity this would spur GDP growth and reduce the risk of an appreciating real exchange rate. In a way this resembles previous results in the aid-growth literature that aid has a positive impact on growth in a country with good economic policies assuming that good policies have a positive impact on productivity. Pre... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Asmah, Emmanuel
Levin, Jörgen
Dokumenttyp: Report
Erscheinungsdatum: 2008
Verlag/Hrsg.: Örebro universitet
Handelshögskolan vid Örebro universitet
Schlagwörter: Economics / Nationalekonomi
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-27418515
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
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Link(s) : http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-3841

In this paper we discuss the impact of scaling-up aid in Tanzania using an economy-wide dynamic CGE model. The major conclusions coming out from this work is that productivity effects matter. If additional aid and consequently increased public spending has a positive impact on productivity this would spur GDP growth and reduce the risk of an appreciating real exchange rate. In a way this resembles previous results in the aid-growth literature that aid has a positive impact on growth in a country with good economic policies assuming that good policies have a positive impact on productivity. Presenting various scenarios on the impact of additional aid a sustained GDP growth rate of around 7 percent would be possible to achieve in a modest scaling-up aid scenario without any significant changes in the real exchange rate.