Incorporating dwelling mounds into induced seismic risk analysis for the Groningen gas field in the Netherlands

In order to inform decision-making regarding measures to mitigate the impact of induced seismicity in the Groningen gas field in the Netherlands, a comprehensive seismic risk model has been developed. Starting with gas production scenarios and the consequent reservoir compaction, the model generates synthetic earthquake catalogues which are deployed in Monte Carlo analyses, predicting ground motions at a buried reference rock horizon that are combined with nonlinear amplification factors to estimate response spectral accelerations at the surface. These motions are combined with fragility funct... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Kruiver, Pauline P.
Pefkos, Manos
Meijles, Erik
Aalbersberg, Gerard
Campman, Xander
van der Veen, Wim
Martin, Antony
Ooms-Asshoff, Kira
Bommer, Julian J.
Rodriguez-Marek, Adrian
Pinho, Rui
Crowley, Helen
Cavalieri, Francesco
Correia, António A.
van Elk, Jan
Dokumenttyp: Artikel
Erscheinungsdatum: 2022
Reihe/Periodikum: Kruiver , P P , Pefkos , M , Meijles , E , Aalbersberg , G , Campman , X , van der Veen , W , Martin , A , Ooms-Asshoff , K , Bommer , J J , Rodriguez-Marek , A , Pinho , R , Crowley , H , Cavalieri , F , Correia , A A & van Elk , J 2022 , ' Incorporating dwelling mounds into induced seismic risk analysis for the Groningen gas field in the Netherlands ' , Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering , vol. 20 , no. 1 , pp. 255-285 . https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01225-7
Schlagwörter: Dwelling mounds / Groningen / Induced seismicity / Seismic risk / Terps
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-27210754
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : https://hdl.handle.net/11370/abbc5663-9a2d-4260-9e3f-c3e5bf0893dc

In order to inform decision-making regarding measures to mitigate the impact of induced seismicity in the Groningen gas field in the Netherlands, a comprehensive seismic risk model has been developed. Starting with gas production scenarios and the consequent reservoir compaction, the model generates synthetic earthquake catalogues which are deployed in Monte Carlo analyses, predicting ground motions at a buried reference rock horizon that are combined with nonlinear amplification factors to estimate response spectral accelerations at the surface. These motions are combined with fragility functions defined for the exposed buildings throughout the region to estimate damage levels, which in turn are transformed to risk in terms of injury through consequence functions. Several older and potentially vulnerable buildings are located on dwelling mounds that were constructed from soils and organic material as a flood defence. These anthropogenic structures are not included in the soil profile models used to develop the amplification factors and hence their influence has not been included in the risk analyses to date. To address this gap in the model, concerted studies have been identified to characterize the dwelling mounds. These include new shear-wave velocity measurements that have enabled dynamic site response analyses to determine the modification of ground shaking due to the presence of the mound. A scheme has then been developed to incorporate the dwelling mounds into the risk calculations, which included an assessment of whether the soil-structure interaction effects for buildings founded on the mounds required modification of the seismic fragility functions.