Estimating infection prevalence using the positive predictive value of self-administered rapid antigen diagnostic tests:An exploration of SARS-CoV-2 surveillance data in the Netherlands from May 2021 to April 2022

Measuring the severity of the disease of SARS-CoV-2 is complicated by the lack of valid estimations for the prevalence of infection. Self-administered rapid antigen diagnostic tests (Ag-RDTs) were available in the Netherlands since March 2021, requiring confirmation by reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for positive results. We explored the possibility of utilizing the positive predictive value (PPV) of Ag-RDTs to estimate SARS-CoV-2 prevalence. We used data from all Public Health service testing facilities between 3 May 2021 and 10 April 2022. The PPV was calculated by d... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Gorgels, Koen M F
van Iersel, Senna C J L
Keijser, Sylvia F A
Hoebe, Christian J P A
Wallinga, Jacco
van Hoek, Albert J
Dokumenttyp: Artikel
Erscheinungsdatum: 2024
Reihe/Periodikum: Gorgels , K M F , van Iersel , S C J L , Keijser , S F A , Hoebe , C J P A , Wallinga , J & van Hoek , A J 2024 , ' Estimating infection prevalence using the positive predictive value of self-administered rapid antigen diagnostic tests : An exploration of SARS-CoV-2 surveillance data in the Netherlands from May 2021 to April 2022 ' , PLOS ONE , vol. 19 , no. 2 , e0298218 . https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0298218
Schlagwörter: Humans / SARS-CoV-2 / Netherlands/epidemiology / COVID-19/diagnosis epidemiology / Predictive Value of Tests / Prevalence / Sensitivity and Specificity
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-27206170
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : https://cris.maastrichtuniversity.nl/en/publications/5fbbbbb9-7a84-490e-b4a7-310975af1f3d

Measuring the severity of the disease of SARS-CoV-2 is complicated by the lack of valid estimations for the prevalence of infection. Self-administered rapid antigen diagnostic tests (Ag-RDTs) were available in the Netherlands since March 2021, requiring confirmation by reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for positive results. We explored the possibility of utilizing the positive predictive value (PPV) of Ag-RDTs to estimate SARS-CoV-2 prevalence. We used data from all Public Health service testing facilities between 3 May 2021 and 10 April 2022. The PPV was calculated by dividing the number of positive RT-PCR results by the total number of confirmation tests performed, and used to estimate the prevalence and compared with the number of COVID-19 hospital admissions. In total 3,599,894 cases were included. The overall PPV was 91.8% and 88.8% were symptomatic. During our study period, the estimated prevalence ranged between 2-22% in symptomatic individuals and 2-14% in asymptomatic individuals, with a correlation between the estimated prevalence and hospital admissions two weeks later (r = 0.68 (p<0.01) and r = 0.60 (p<0.01) for symptomatic/asymptomatic individuals). The PPV of Ag-RDTs can help estimate changes in SARS-CoV-2 prevalence, especially when used in conjunction with other surveillance systems. However, the used method probably overestimated the true prevalence because of unmonitored differences in test propensity between individuals.