Dealing with the Dutch disease: Fiscal rules and macro-prudential policies

This paper evaluates from a welfare perspective three policy alternatives for dealing with Dutch disease problems originating from cyclical movements in commodity prices: fiscal rules for government expenditures, capital controls, and taxes on domestic lending. A DSGE model of a small open economy is developed, with a sectoral decomposition that features three distinctive characteristics: financial frictions, a learning-by-doing externality in the industrial sector, and a fraction of households being non-Ricardian (credit constrained). The model is calibrated using Chilean data. For each polic... Mehr ...

Verfasser: García-Cicco, Javier
Kawamura, Enrique
Dokumenttyp: doc-type:workingPaper
Erscheinungsdatum: 2015
Verlag/Hrsg.: Washington
DC: Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)
Schlagwörter: ddc:330 / F41 / E61 / Dutch Disease / Fiscal procyclicality / Fiscal rules / Capital controls / Macro-prudential policies
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-27077651
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
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Link(s) : http://hdl.handle.net/10419/115507

This paper evaluates from a welfare perspective three policy alternatives for dealing with Dutch disease problems originating from cyclical movements in commodity prices: fiscal rules for government expenditures, capital controls, and taxes on domestic lending. A DSGE model of a small open economy is developed, with a sectoral decomposition that features three distinctive characteristics: financial frictions, a learning-by-doing externality in the industrial sector, and a fraction of households being non-Ricardian (credit constrained). The model is calibrated using Chilean data. For each policy tool, optimal simple rules are analyzed from a welfare (Ramsey) perspective, describing how different households rank the several policy alternatives, and studying how each of the models features shapes the optimal policy design. A general conclusion of the analysis is that the included Dutch disease inefficiencies are of quantitatively limited relevance in analyzing the desirability of these policies from a welfare perspective.