Analysis of simulated outbreaks with a varying number of introductions and coalescent rate ( r history ) in the history host.
The facets give the results for either 1, 2, 5, 10, 15, or 20 simulated introductions. (A) The mean estimated median number of introductions. The black line indicates the simulated number of introductions. (B) Percentage of correctly identified infectors. The grey bar indicates cases for which the true infector has the highest posterior weight. The transparent bar indicates cases for which the true infector is contained in the smallest set of candidate infectors with at least 95% of the posterior weight. (C) Classification of the falsely identified infectors based on the highest support. The g... Mehr ...
The facets give the results for either 1, 2, 5, 10, 15, or 20 simulated introductions. (A) The mean estimated median number of introductions. The black line indicates the simulated number of introductions. (B) Percentage of correctly identified infectors. The grey bar indicates cases for which the true infector has the highest posterior weight. The transparent bar indicates cases for which the true infector is contained in the smallest set of candidate infectors with at least 95% of the posterior weight. (C) Classification of the falsely identified infectors based on the highest support. The grey bars indicate the correctly identified infectors. S: single transmission cluster involved, M: multiple transmission clusters involved. For the infector of a host: C2C: case becomes case, H2C: history becomes case, C2H: case becomes history.