Aspectos Financeiros da Doença Holandesa: O Arranjo Institucional De Gestão da DPMFi e Rentabilidade das Carteiras de Títulos Públicos sob a Dinâmica de Sobreapreciação Cambial

The work in question seeks to understand the effects of the relationship between the dynamics of the exchange rate, in a context of Dutch disease, and the persistence of the institutional arrangement of financing of the Federal Internal Securities Public Debt. To this end, it seeks to elaborate the connection between the cyclical component of the trend of chronic overvaluation of the exchange rate and the profitability and liquidity of the different components of an investment strategy based on federal government bonds. An essential part of this connection would be based on the greater sensiti... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Prado, Pedro Luiz Moura Aprigio Da Silva UNIFESP
Dokumenttyp: Dissertação de mestrado
Erscheinungsdatum: 2020
Verlag/Hrsg.: Universidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP)
Schlagwörter: New Developmentalism / Dutch Disease / Financial Cycles / Debt Public / Public Titles / Novo Desenvolvimentismo / Doença Holandesa / Ciclos Financeiros / Dívida Pública / Títulos Públicos
Sprache: Portuguese
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-27062997
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : https://repositorio.unifesp.br/xmlui/handle/11600/64676

The work in question seeks to understand the effects of the relationship between the dynamics of the exchange rate, in a context of Dutch disease, and the persistence of the institutional arrangement of financing of the Federal Internal Securities Public Debt. To this end, it seeks to elaborate the connection between the cyclical component of the trend of chronic overvaluation of the exchange rate and the profitability and liquidity of the different components of an investment strategy based on federal government bonds. An essential part of this connection would be based on the greater sensitivity of local markets to changes in global financial cycles, determined by the monetary policy of central economies and the perception of risk by financial agents international standards. Thus, in times of increasing global liquidity, the appreciation of interest rates exchange rate would have a positive effect on the real profitability accumulated in strategies based on inflation-pegged and hybrid bonds, increasing the incentive to load of these assets in the portfolios. On the other hand, when the liquidity cycle is reversed and the consequent devaluation of the exchange rate, capital would find protection in investments post-fixed, with the recomposition of portfolios partly guaranteed by practices such as auctions exchanges promoted by the National Treasury. ; O trabalho em questão procura entender os efeitos da relação existente entre a dinâmica da taxa real de câmbio, num contexto de Doença Holandesa, e a persistência do arranjo institucional de financiamento da Dívida Pública Mobiliária Federal Interna. Para tanto, procura elaborar a conexão entre o componente cíclico da tendência de sobreapreciação crônica da taxa de câmbio e a rentabilidade e liquidez dos diferentes componentes de uma estratégia de investimento baseada em títulos públicos federais. Parte essencial desta conexão estaria baseada na maior sensibilidade dos mercados locais as alterações nos ciclos financeiros globais, determinados pela política ...