Prediction of prostate cancer: external validation of the ERSPC risk calculator in a contemporary Dutch clinical cohort

Background: The validity of prediction models needs external validation to assess their value beyond the original development setting. Objective: To report the diagnostic accuracy of the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) risk calculator (RC)3 and RC4 in a contemporary Dutch clinical cohort. Design, setting, and participants: We retrospectively identified all men who underwent prostate biopsy (PBx) in the Jeroen Bosch Hospital, The Netherlands, between 2007 and 2016. Patients were included if they met ERSPC RC requirements of age (50–80 yr), prostate-specific an... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Gayet, M.
Mannaerts, C.K.
Nieboer, D.
Beerlage, H.P.
Wijkstra, H.
Mulders, P.F.A.
Roobol, M.J.
Dokumenttyp: Artikel
Erscheinungsdatum: 2018
Reihe/Periodikum: Gayet , M , Mannaerts , C K , Nieboer , D , Beerlage , H P , Wijkstra , H , Mulders , P F A & Roobol , M J 2018 , ' Prediction of prostate cancer: external validation of the ERSPC risk calculator in a contemporary Dutch clinical cohort ' , European Urology Focus , vol. 4 , no. 2 , pp. 228-234 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2016.07.007
Schlagwörter: Journal Article / Validation / Biopsy / Nomogram / Risk stratification / Decision aids / Prostate cancer / Prostate-Specific Antigen / Predictive Value of Tests / Humans / Middle Aged / Decision Support Techniques / Male / Prostatic Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging / Neoplasm Grading / Validation Studies as Topic / Ultrasonography / Aged / 80 and over / Prostate/anatomy & histology / Retrospective Studies / Risk Assessment/methods / Netherlands/epidemiology / /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/good_health_and_well_being / name=SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-27062199
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : https://research.tue.nl/en/publications/36327939-9260-4200-81d4-82a5aaa55795

Background: The validity of prediction models needs external validation to assess their value beyond the original development setting. Objective: To report the diagnostic accuracy of the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) risk calculator (RC)3 and RC4 in a contemporary Dutch clinical cohort. Design, setting, and participants: We retrospectively identified all men who underwent prostate biopsy (PBx) in the Jeroen Bosch Hospital, The Netherlands, between 2007 and 2016. Patients were included if they met ERSPC RC requirements of age (50–80 yr), prostate-specific antigen (PSA) (0.4–50 ng/ml), and prostate volume (10–150 ml). The probability of a positive biopsy for prostate cancer (PCa) and significant PCa (Gleason score ≥7 and/or higher than T2b) were calculated and compared with PBx pathology results. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: Evaluation was performed by calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness using calibration plots, area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs), and decision curve analyses (DCAs), respectively. Results and limitations: A total of 2270 PBx sessions were eligible for final analysis. Discriminative ability of RC3 (AUC) was 0.78 and 0.90 for any PCa and significant PCa, respectively. For RC4 the calculated AUCs were 0.62 (any PCa) and 0.76 (significant PCa). The calibration plots of RC3 showed good results for both any PCa risk and significant PCa risk. In the repeat PBx group, RC4 tended to underestimate outcomes for PCa and showed moderate calibration for significant PCa. DCA showed an overall net benefit compared with PSA and digital rectal examination (DRE) alone. Limitations of this study are its retrospective single-institution design, retrospectively assessed DRE outcomes, no time restrictions between the first and repeat biopsy sessions, and no anterior sampling in the repeat PBx protocol. Conclusions: The ERSPC RCs performed well in a contemporary clinical setting. Most pronounced in the biopsy-naive group, ...