The impact of uncertainties on the Belgian energy system: application of the Polynomial Chaos Expansion to the EnergyScope model.

In an ever-changing world running for overall expansion and facing an unprecedented climate change, the energy transition question remains at the core of today’s—and tomorrow’s—policies. To address this question, several studies have already looked into optimized energy systems minimizing the greenhouse gas emission and the costs taking into account high renewable energies penetration and energy storage solutions. Such models rely on many parameters to represent as closely as possible the actual behaviour of the system. This paper focuses on the uncertainty of these parameters. To do s... Mehr ...