Adaptation to uncertain sea-level rise; how uncertainty in Antarctic mass-loss impacts the coastal adaptation strategy of the Netherlands

Uncertainties in the rate and magnitude of sea-level rise (SLR) complicate decision making on coastal adaptation. Large uncertainty arises from potential ice mass-loss from Antarctica that could rapidly increase SLR in the second half of this century. To deal with uncertain SLR, the Netherlands has adopted an adaptive pathways strategy. Monitoring of new insights on climatic risks and societal developments is an essential ingredient of this strategy. The implications of SLR may be existential for a low-lying country as the Netherlands, and warrant exploration of high- impact low-likelihood sce... Mehr ...