Uncertainty and temporal aspects in long-term explorations of sustainable land use : with reference to the Northern Atlantic Zone of Costa Rica

Long-term explorations serve to widen the perspectives of decision makers. Biophysical and technical possibilities and constraints are confronted with the valuedriven objectives of stakeholders in Multiple Goal Linear Programming (MGLP) models. Two methodological aspects of long-term explorations are elaborated in this thesis: uncertainty in agro-ecological coefficients and temporal aspects of land use. The effects of these aspects on generated land use scenarios are studied using data from the Northern Atlantic Zone of Costa Rica (NAZ).Uncertainties in agro-ecological coefficients concerning... Mehr ...