Aid-Financed Public Investments and the Dutch Disease: Evidence from Tanzania

In this paper we discuss the impact of scaling-up aid in Tanzania using an economy-wide dynamic CGE model. The major conclusions coming out from this work is that productivity effects matter. If additional aid and consequently increased public spending has a positive impact on productivity this would spur GDP growth and reduce the risk of an appreciating real exchange rate. In a way this resembles previous results in the aid-growth literature that aid has a positive impact on growth in a country with good economic policies assuming that good policies have a positive impact on productivity. Pre... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Asmah, Emmanuel E.
Levin, Jörgen
Dokumenttyp: doc-type:workingPaper
Erscheinungsdatum: 2008
Verlag/Hrsg.: Örebro: Örebro University School of Business
Schlagwörter: ddc:330 / F35 / O11 / O55 / Aid:Dutch:Disease:Tanzania
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-26688823
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
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Link(s) : http://hdl.handle.net/10419/244439

In this paper we discuss the impact of scaling-up aid in Tanzania using an economy-wide dynamic CGE model. The major conclusions coming out from this work is that productivity effects matter. If additional aid and consequently increased public spending has a positive impact on productivity this would spur GDP growth and reduce the risk of an appreciating real exchange rate. In a way this resembles previous results in the aid-growth literature that aid has a positive impact on growth in a country with good economic policies assuming that good policies have a positive impact on productivity. Presenting various scenarios on the impact of additional aid a sustained GDP growth rate of around 7 percent would be possible to achieve in a modest scaling-up aid scenario without any significant changes in the real exchange rate.