Investigating the Transmission Channels behind Dutch Disease Effects ; Lessons from Mongolia Using a CGE Model

This paper uses a computable general equilibrium model -- Maquette for Millennium Development Goal Simulations (MAMS) -- calibrated to Mongolia to investigate how the development of major mining projects leads to Dutch disease. The simulations suggest that the process is complex, with the relative strength of the different spending and resource movement channels determined by structural features of the economy, such as factor input needs of the mining sector and substitution elasticities, and how mineral windfalls are eventually spent. In Mongolia, mining sector demand for domestic factor inpu... Mehr ...