Examining unpriced risk heterogeneity in the Dutch health insurance market

A major challenge in regulated health insurance markets is to mitigate risk selection potential. Risk selection can occur in the presence of unpriced risk heterogeneity, which refers to predictable variation in health care spending not reflected in either premiums by insurers or risk equalization payments. This paper examines unpriced risk heterogeneity within risk groups distinguished by the sophisticated Dutch risk equalization model of 2016. Our strategy is to combine the administrative dataset used for estimation of the risk equalization model (n = 16.9 million) with information derived fr... Mehr ...

Verfasser: Withagen-Koster, A.A. (A. A.)
Kleef, R.C. (Richard) van
Eijkenaar, F. (Frank)
Dokumenttyp: Artikel
Erscheinungsdatum: 2018
Schlagwörter: Health insurance / Risk equalization / Risk selection / Survey data
Sprache: Englisch
Permalink: https://search.fid-benelux.de/Record/base-26677117
Datenquelle: BASE; Originalkatalog
Powered By: BASE
Link(s) : http://repub.eur.nl/pub/105919

A major challenge in regulated health insurance markets is to mitigate risk selection potential. Risk selection can occur in the presence of unpriced risk heterogeneity, which refers to predictable variation in health care spending not reflected in either premiums by insurers or risk equalization payments. This paper examines unpriced risk heterogeneity within risk groups distinguished by the sophisticated Dutch risk equalization model of 2016. Our strategy is to combine the administrative dataset used for estimation of the risk equalization model (n = 16.9 million) with information derived from a large health survey (n = 387k). The survey information allows for explaining and predicting residual spending of the risk equalization model. Based on the predicted residual spending, two metrics are used to indicate unpriced risk heterogeneity at the individual level and at the level of certain (risk) groups: the correlation coefficient between residual spending and predicted residual spending, and the mean absol