Predicting COVID-19 progression in hospitalized patients in Belgium from a multi-state model

Objectives To adopt a multi-state risk prediction model for critical disease/mortality outcomes among hospitalised COVID-19 patients using nationwide COVID-19 hospital surveillance data in Belgium. Materials and methods Information on 44,659 COVID-19 patients hospitalised between March 2020 and June 2021 with complete data on disease outcomes and candidate predictors was used to adopt a multi-state, multivariate Cox model to predict patients’ probability of recovery, critical [transfer to intensive care units (ICU)] or fatal outcomes during hospital stay. Results Median length of hospital stay... Mehr ...