Strategies to estimate ground susceptibility to landslide reactivation. A probabilistic application in W Belgium (Oudenaarde)

peer reviewed ; In the hilly region of the Flemish Ardennes in western Belgium, no new big deep-seated landslides have occurred for decades, whereas several reactivation episodes were recently observed in ancient landslides. We selected a test area comprised of 13 rotational landslides located close to the town of Oudenaarde in order to predict the susceptibility of their main scarp to retreat. We propose here two probabilistic models based on a fuzzy set approach. The models use empirical distribution functions (EDFs) as favourability values to build membership values and combine them by usin... Mehr ...