Statistical modelling and climate variability of compound surge and precipitation events in a managed water system: a case study in the Netherlands

The co-occurrence of (not necessarily extreme) precipitation and surge can lead to extreme inland water levels in coastal areas. In a previous work the positive dependence between the two meteorological drivers was demonstrated in a managed water system in the Netherlands by empirically investigating an 800-year time series of water levels, which were simulated via a physical-based hydrological model driven by a regional climate model large ensemble. In this study, we present an impact-focused multivariate statistical framework to model the dependence between these flooding drivers and the res... Mehr ...