Quels scénarios de débordement de l'Ourthe (Belgique) en réponse à une variabilité climatique long terme ?

This paper proposes an approach of climate change impacts assessment on overflow of an Ourthe river reach (Belgium). We based our work on a set of hydro-climatic scenarios including the long-term climate variability (from the Maunder Minimum to the end of the 21st century). A 1D hydraulic modelling (the WOLF 1D model) is then useful to detect an overflowing discharge along the reach, and a discharge-duration-frequency analysis was implemented to consider the flood dynamic (duration of overflow) in the impact study. From comparison between baseline data (1976-2005) corresponding to present clim... Mehr ...